Kona Special: The 2016 Ironman World Championship Race Preview with Thorsten Radde
October 3, 2016
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Our annual Ironman World Championships preview featuring expert Thorsten Radde of trirating.com. If you want the full guide to this race, download Thorsten’s 2016 Kona Rating Report. On this show we give you all the important need-to-know info to be dialed in for this year’s race taking place on Saturday, Oct. 8:
- Last year surprises or standouts
- Pro men’s race dynamics
- How this race is executed and who will be big players this year
- Pro women’s race dynamics
- Besides Ryf and Rinny, the women’s race is looking to be a more open field. Missing “big” names like Steffan, Joyce, Blatchford, etc. How will it unfold?
- Podium predictions based on the past
- When analyzing the results of the previous races in Kona, a few interesting “patterns” emerge on how results change from year to year. While these pattern are in no way certain, they still offer some insights on what to expect from year to year
- 17 of the last 20 winners came from the Top 4 in the previous year.
- Top 10’er Trends
- About a third of the athletes between 4th and 10th place have finished there in the year before
- About a quarter haven’t raced in the previous year
- Only very few athletes manage to take this step the next year from top 10 to podium
- About a third fall out of the Top 10 in the next race
- A five-level system to show an athlete’s strength and weaknesses compared to the best athletes in the field, chances of doing well in one leg and overall
- Using Luke McKenzie’s heatmap rating as an example to see how one might use this to improve in future Kona races
- Who are the rookies this year?
- Jesse Thomas, Mel Hauschildt, Kevin Collington, Patrick Lange, Kaisa Lehtonen, and more
- By the stats, who will be on the podium/top 5 this year
- Shoutout to oldest and youngest athletes racing Kona as a pro
- Natascha Badman – legend at 49 and still racing pro
- More women who are over 35 than men?
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